World Cup Elo/Dixon-Coles Advisor

This bot serves as a decision-support tool for World Cup prediction markets on Polymarket. It combines two statistical models: Elo ratings (for head-to-head strength) and the Dixon-Coles model (a Poisson-based framework that captures low-scoring match dynamics and independence of goals). It also incorporates team form (recent results) and calculates Closing Line Value (CLV) to evaluate whether a bet would have been profitable at market close. The output is a recommended probability for each match outcome (win/draw/loss), which users can compare against Polymarket prices. Paper trading tracks hypothetical P&L to validate the model. Scheduled reports via Python scripts summarize upcoming matches, model predictions, and recommended trades. This is a read-only tool—it does not execute trades automatically, making it suitable for users who want signal without automation risk.