News Arbitrage on Polymarket Events

How It Works The benjee-inc arb-dashboard repo describes a 'news arbitrage bot' with a dedicated dashboard, implying the system monitors news feeds (likely RSS, Twitter/X, or news APIs) for events that are material to open Polymarket markets and executes trades before human traders manually reprice those markets. This is a latency-sensitive information arbitrage strategy.

Entry Conditions Entry is triggered when a news event is classified as material to one or more open Polymarket markets and the current market price has not yet reflected the new information. The bot submits directional orders immediately upon detection. Speed of news ingestion and market order submission is the primary competitive dimension.

Exit Conditions Exit likely occurs at or near resolution, or when the market has fully repriced to reflect the news (i.e., the edge has been arbitraged away). In fast-moving news cycles, multiple round trips on the same market may be possible.

Verified Results No PnL data published. Zero stars and zero forks. The dashboard component suggests the operator is tracking live or paper performance, but results are not public.

Risks News arbitrage is one of the most competitive strategies in prediction markets and is dominated by well-resourced automated systems with low-latency news feeds. False positives (news that appears material but is not) can generate losing trades. Polymarket's CLOB may have price impact that eliminates the edge before a full position can be established. Regulatory and terms-of-service risks around automated trading on news events exist. The lack of any stars or forks suggests this implementation is either very early-stage or not yet credible to the broader community.