ML Ensemble BTC 5-min Bot
ML ensemble bot (LGBM+XGB+LSTM) for BTC Up/Down 5min markets on Polymarket with auto-training via GitHub Actions
This bot uses a machine learning ensemble combining LightGBM, XGBoost, and LSTM models to predict BTC price direction in 5-minute Up/Down markets on Polymarket. The models are trained on historical Bitcoin price data and make predictions on new 5-minute windows. The bot enters a position on BTC Up or BTC Down based on the ensemble's probability output, likely only when confidence is above a threshold. Exit occurs automatically at market expiration (after 5 minutes). The repo has 3 stars and is connected to a live dashboard on GitHub Pages. The edge comes from identifying non-linear patterns in short-term BTC price movements. Risks include overfitting to historical data, regime changes in volatility, and latency issues in executing on 5-minute markets.