Complete-Set Arbitrage with Bayesian Calibration

Part of a multi-engine architecture that performs complete-set arbitrage on Polymarket with auto-adaptive Bayesian calibration layer and neural plasticity network for regime-based capital allocation.

This strategy is one component of the 'Father Daddy Capital' multi-engine trading system. It identifies and executes complete-set arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket, where buying all outcomes of a market at a total price below 1 (in USDC) guarantees a profit. The broader system uses a Bayesian calibration layer to dynamically adjust the strategy parameters based on market conditions and a neural plasticity network to adapt to changing market regimes. A meta-controller handles IF/AND/OR logic for dynamic capital allocation across different strategies (swing, scalp, Polymarket, altcoin farming). Entry uses paper-trading infrastructure to validate opportunities before deploying capital. Exit logic depends on the specific arbitrage setup and market conditions.