btc-eth-price-arbitrage-across-prediction-market-venues

This strategy monitors BTC and ETH price prediction markets across multiple platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. When the implied probability of a BTC hitting a certain price level differs significantly between venues, the bot buys the undervalued side on one platform and sells the overvalued side on the other. Entry thresholds are based on historical spread distributions. Exits occur when spreads narrow or at market close. The bot uses a live dashboard for monitoring. Verified with small live trades showing modest profits. Risks include cross-platform settlement timing mismatches, funding delays, and regulatory differences between venues.