Arbiter - Cross-Market Election Arbitrage

A sophisticated quantitative bot specifically designed for Polymarket political markets. It systematically hunts cross-market arbitrage opportunities by identifying no-arbitrage violations between related election markets. Position sizing uses fractional Kelly criterion to optimize capital allocation while managing risk. The bot operates in paper-trading mode as a deliberate design choice, prioritizing survival over profit. It refuses to trade without a backtested out-of-sample edge, demonstrating a rigorous academic approach to quantitative trading. Developed in TypeScript with a clean codebase of 540KB, suggesting well-structured and efficient implementation.