5-Minute Crypto Trend Following

How It Works The pm-crypto-trend bot trades Polymarket prediction markets whose outcomes are tied to short-term cryptocurrency price movements, using 5-minute candlestick or tick data to identify momentum signals. When crypto price momentum aligns with a Polymarket binary outcome (e.g., BTC up in next 15 minutes), the bot takes the corresponding position on Polymarket.

Entry / Exit Conditions Entry is based on trend detection signals derived from 5-minute crypto price data — likely moving average crossovers, momentum indicators, or similar technical signals. The market-facing trade is on Polymarket's binary outcome. Exit occurs at market resolution given the short-duration nature of the markets targeted.

Verification The existence of a dedicated report dashboard (pm-crypto-trend-dashboard) suggests the bot is actively running and generating data, implying the developer is tracking performance. No P&L figures are available in the metadata.

Implementation Notes The dashboard repository is separate from the trading bot itself, suggesting a production-grade setup with monitoring infrastructure. The 5-minute signal generation cadence implies low-latency data feeds for crypto prices are required.

Risks Crypto momentum on 5-minute timeframes is noisy and prone to false signals, especially around market open/close and news events. The binary nature of Polymarket outcomes means small prediction errors translate to full losses. Market makers on Polymarket may have already priced in short-term momentum, eliminating the edge. Transaction costs on frequent 5-minute trades can erode profits significantly.